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Red56
31647.0
901521.6
870710.2
Blue92
140339.4
30314.6
181227.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64612040801005692

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#4
47.00.4
29.429.0
Auto11.4
Teleop26.7
End8.9
red by 7.6
39.43.8
21.525.3
Auto12.0
Teleop19.6
End7.9
Second
9015
#16
21.60.4
16.416.0
Auto5.7
Teleop9.5
End6.5
blue by 6.3
1812
#11
27.93.8
17.321.1
Auto8.7
Teleop13.2
End6.0
Third
8707
#28
10.20.4
13.913.5
Auto2.9
Teleop3.2
End4.0
blue by 4.4
303
#26
14.63.8
19.223.0
Auto4.3
Teleop4.4
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
42%Activation oddsMissed39%Activation oddsEarned