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Red109
8718.5
568428.5
689735.8
Blue81
29317.2
465335.2
465221.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions857420406010012014010981

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.80.6
34.334.9
Auto9.6
Teleop18.1
End8.1
red by 0.6
35.20.0
34.534.5
Auto8.4
Teleop19.1
End7.8
Second
5684
#12
28.50.6
27.227.7
Auto7.8
Teleop16.6
End4.1
red by 7.5
4652
#18
21.00.0
20.320.3
Auto6.6
Teleop7.8
End6.6
Third
87
#19
18.50.6
17.217.8
Auto5.0
Teleop4.9
End8.6
red by 1.4
293
#10
17.20.1
16.416.3
Auto3.6
Teleop8.7
End4.9