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Red101
20420.7
140348.3
475022.1
Blue78
249546.0
807520.4
75215.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8778020406010012014016010178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.31.0
42.243.2
Auto10.9
Teleop28.0
End9.4
red by 2.3
46.00.3
38.038.2
Auto12.8
Teleop24.4
End8.8
Second
4750
#29
22.11.0
22.323.3
Auto7.3
Teleop12.1
End2.8
red by 1.8
8075
#19
20.40.3
18.118.4
Auto5.8
Teleop9.0
End5.6
Third
204
#8
20.71.0
16.117.1
Auto7.4
Teleop6.9
End6.3
red by 5.6
752
#34
15.10.3
17.918.2
Auto5.0
Teleop3.5
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsEarned7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
32%Activation oddsMissed74%Activation oddsEarned