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Red130
207029.3
29333.2
249546.0
Blue87
257724.8
363733.1
599228.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9978406012014016018013087

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.02.3
39.141.5
Auto12.8
Teleop24.4
End8.8
red by 12.9
3637
#14
33.10.7
29.830.5
Auto7.4
Teleop19.3
End6.4
Second
293
#6
33.22.3
24.727.0
Auto7.7
Teleop19.5
End6.1
red by 4.4
5992
#15
28.90.7
23.324.0
Auto8.2
Teleop16.8
End3.9
Third
2070
#11
29.32.3
26.228.5
Auto8.7
Teleop15.0
End5.5
red by 4.5
2577
#26
24.80.7
22.723.5
Auto7.6
Teleop10.7
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsEarned5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
42%Activation oddsEarned48%Activation oddsMissed