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Red126
543824.3
436139.7
363733.1
Blue105
2551.9
249546.0
167226.2
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions821274060100140160180126105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.71.4
32.834.2
Auto14.0
Teleop18.0
End7.7
blue by 12.2
25
#2
51.90.6
48.648.1
Auto12.6
Teleop31.8
End7.5
Second
3637
#14
33.11.4
28.329.7
Auto7.4
Teleop19.3
End6.4
blue by 12.9
46.00.6
37.336.7
Auto12.8
Teleop24.4
End8.8
Third
5438
#13
24.31.4
21.623.0
Auto6.7
Teleop9.3
End8.2
blue by 1.9
1672
#27
26.20.6
27.326.8
Auto6.6
Teleop14.1
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
58%Activation oddsEarned88%Activation oddsMissed