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Red50
257724.8
601618.9
75215.1
Blue114
436139.7
7530.0
20420.7
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6392020408010012014016050114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2577
#26
24.80.9
23.923.0
Auto7.6
Teleop10.7
End6.6
blue by 14.8
39.71.1
34.535.6
Auto14.0
Teleop18.0
End7.7
Second
6016
#23
18.91.4
19.217.8
Auto3.9
Teleop10.1
End4.9
blue by 11.2
75
#10
30.01.1
29.530.6
Auto10.8
Teleop12.1
End7.1
Third
752
#34
15.10.9
19.818.9
Auto5.0
Teleop3.5
End6.6
blue by 5.6
204
#8
20.71.1
18.719.8
Auto7.4
Teleop6.9
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
54%Activation oddsMissed43%Activation oddsEarned