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Red115
689737.6
758727.1
436139.7
Blue50
599228.9
871423.4
4117.1
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1056420408012014016018011550

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.70.8
35.636.4
Auto14.0
Teleop18.0
End7.7
red by 10.8
5992
#15
28.91.0
25.624.5
Auto8.2
Teleop16.8
End3.9
Second
6897
#16
37.60.8
37.338.1
Auto10.5
Teleop21.5
End5.6
red by 14.2
8714
#21
23.41.0
20.619.5
Auto4.5
Teleop11.9
End7.0
Third
7587
#17
27.10.8
20.621.4
Auto10.4
Teleop13.1
End3.6
red by 10.0
41
#30
17.11.0
19.418.4
Auto2.4
Teleop10.2
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
43%Activation oddsMissed25%Activation oddsMissed