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Red116
192352.7
601618.9
599228.9
Blue42
870616.0
75215.1
140348.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9390608010012014011642

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.71.9
45.747.6
Auto11.0
Teleop31.6
End10.1
red by 4.4
48.33.2
47.744.5
Auto10.9
Teleop28.0
End9.4
Second
5992
#15
28.91.9
26.027.9
Auto8.2
Teleop16.8
End3.9
red by 12.8
8706
#32
16.03.2
16.813.6
Auto4.0
Teleop7.5
End4.6
Third
6016
#23
18.93.0
15.118.2
Auto3.9
Teleop10.1
End4.9
red by 3.8
752
#34
15.13.2
20.317.1
Auto5.0
Teleop3.5
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsEarned14%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
59%Activation oddsEarned48%Activation oddsMissed