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Red60
351518.1
257724.8
4117.1
Blue45
125721.8
255417.6
19899.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5847102030407080906045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2577
#26
24.80.5
20.521.0
Auto7.6
Teleop10.7
End6.6
red by 3.0
1257
#33
21.80.0
15.415.4
Auto9.0
Teleop7.4
End5.4
Second
3515
#20
18.10.5
15.315.8
Auto6.4
Teleop5.6
End6.1
red by 0.5
2554
#35
17.60.0
17.917.9
Auto7.0
Teleop8.6
End2.1
Third
41
#30
17.10.5
17.017.5
Auto2.4
Teleop10.2
End4.5
red by 8.0
1989
#28
9.10.0
11.911.8
Auto1.9
Teleop4.0
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
31%Activation oddsMissed37%Activation oddsMissed