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Red118
436139.7
207029.3
125721.8
Blue150
255417.6
192352.7
140348.3
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions851244060100140160180200118150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.71.2
36.437.6
Auto14.0
Teleop18.0
End7.7
blue by 13.0
52.72.2
49.351.5
Auto11.0
Teleop31.6
End10.1
Second
2070
#11
29.31.2
28.830.1
Auto8.7
Teleop15.0
End5.5
blue by 19.0
48.32.2
44.546.7
Auto10.9
Teleop28.0
End9.4
Third
1257
#33
21.81.2
19.320.5
Auto9.0
Teleop7.4
End5.4
red by 4.2
2554
#35
17.62.2
17.719.9
Auto7.0
Teleop8.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed33%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
46%Activation oddsEarned78%Activation oddsEarned