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Red74
7530.0
257724.8
851328.3
Blue86
807520.4
167226.2
758727.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9169204060801001201407486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75
#10
30.00.9
32.031.1
Auto10.8
Teleop12.1
End7.1
red by 2.9
7587
#17
27.10.9
24.625.5
Auto10.4
Teleop13.1
End3.6
Second
8513
#18
28.30.9
27.726.8
Auto10.3
Teleop10.4
End7.5
red by 2.1
1672
#27
26.20.9
24.825.7
Auto6.6
Teleop14.1
End5.4
Third
2577
#26
24.80.9
22.621.7
Auto7.6
Teleop10.7
End6.6
red by 4.4
8075
#19
20.40.9
18.018.9
Auto5.8
Teleop9.0
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
70%Activation oddsEarned15%Activation oddsMissed