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Red153
192352.7
689737.6
127939.9
Blue110
601618.9
249546.0
543824.3
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1448650100200153110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.70.2
51.551.7
Auto11.0
Teleop31.6
End10.1
red by 6.7
46.00.4
45.746.2
Auto12.8
Teleop24.4
End8.8
Second
39.90.2
39.139.4
Auto9.3
Teleop25.1
End5.5
red by 15.6
5438
#13
24.30.4
24.324.7
Auto6.7
Teleop9.3
End8.2
Third
6897
#16
37.60.2
37.237.4
Auto10.5
Teleop21.5
End5.6
red by 18.7
6016
#23
18.90.5
18.318.9
Auto3.9
Teleop10.1
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
34%Sustainability oddsEarned11%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
90%Activation oddsEarned57%Activation oddsEarned