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Red64
20420.7
599228.9
363733.1
Blue107
127939.9
162619.0
436139.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8710805015020064107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3637
#14
33.10.6
33.633.1
Auto7.4
Teleop19.3
End6.4
blue by 6.8
39.90.1
39.940.0
Auto9.3
Teleop25.1
End5.5
Second
5992
#15
28.90.6
29.428.9
Auto8.2
Teleop16.8
End3.9
blue by 10.8
39.70.1
39.739.8
Auto14.0
Teleop18.0
End7.7
Third
204
#8
20.70.6
21.320.7
Auto7.4
Teleop6.9
End6.3
red by 1.7
1626
#22
19.00.1
19.019.1
Auto10.0
Teleop2.2
End6.8