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Red92
475022.1
108932.1
689737.6
Blue93
20420.7
599228.9
363733.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9988501509293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6897
#16
37.60.1
37.437.3
Auto10.5
Teleop21.5
End5.6
red by 4.5
3637
#14
33.10.0
33.433.4
Auto7.4
Teleop19.3
End6.4
Second
32.10.1
31.931.8
Auto9.5
Teleop16.1
End6.5
red by 3.2
5992
#15
28.90.0
29.229.1
Auto8.2
Teleop16.8
End3.9
Third
4750
#29
22.10.1
22.021.9
Auto7.3
Teleop12.1
End2.8
red by 1.4
204
#8
20.70.0
21.021.0
Auto7.4
Teleop6.9
End6.3