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Red136
20335.3
181236.9
589558.3
Blue54
434239.2
475021.9
81627.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1296205010015020013654

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.31.6
54.456.0
Auto13.8
Teleop34.9
End8.9
red by 19.2
39.20.8
29.428.6
Auto9.5
Teleop22.2
End7.1
Second
36.91.6
28.630.2
Auto12.9
Teleop16.2
End7.9
red by 9.9
816
#16
27.10.8
20.519.6
Auto7.1
Teleop15.1
End4.9
Third
203
#11
35.31.6
29.531.1
Auto9.9
Teleop19.2
End6.1
red by 13.4
4750
#24
21.91.4
16.515.1
Auto8.8
Teleop8.9
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
32%Sustainability oddsEarned5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned34%Activation oddsMissed