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Red129
180754.9
622628.5
116823.7
Blue59
813016.5
692121.6
511315.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10845010015012959

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.90.7
50.651.3
Auto16.0
Teleop31.4
End6.7
red by 33.3
6921
#26
21.61.0
20.321.2
Auto5.4
Teleop9.4
End6.8
Second
28.50.7
20.721.4
Auto10.4
Teleop11.4
End6.7
red by 12.0
8130
#29
16.50.6
12.212.8
Auto4.4
Teleop9.6
End2.6
Third
1168
#13
23.70.7
22.323.0
Auto6.7
Teleop12.3
End4.8
red by 8.2
5113
#28
15.50.6
17.718.3
Auto5.6
Teleop5.9
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
48%Activation oddsEarned26%Activation oddsMissed