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Qual 222023 FMA District Seneca Event
Red110
27244.4
255911.5
219126.1
Blue86
863015.5
181236.9
272228.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7383406010012011086

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
272
#4
44.41.2
37.7→38.9
Auto14.7
Teleop21.8
End8.0
red by 7.5
1812
#6
36.90.3
31.4→31.7
Auto12.9
Teleop16.2
End7.9
Second
2191
#18
26.11.2
24.5→25.7
Auto7.6
Teleop12.0
End6.5
blue by 2.8
2722
#15
28.90.3
25.2→25.5
Auto9.0
Teleop11.4
End8.6
Third
2559
#19
11.51.2
7.5→8.7
Auto2.9
Teleop4.9
End3.8
blue by 4.0
8630
#21
15.50.5
19.9→20.4
Auto4.5
Teleop8.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsMissed11%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
49%Activation oddsEarned75%Activation oddsEarned