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Red111
910017.1
171231.9
272036.9
Blue91
20335.3
511315.5
8725.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions677920406010012014011191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.92.8
24.026.8
Auto9.3
Teleop20.0
End7.7
red by 1.6
203
#11
35.31.2
32.934.1
Auto9.9
Teleop19.2
End6.1
Second
31.92.8
23.226.0
Auto5.4
Teleop19.3
End7.2
red by 6.5
87
#9
25.41.2
21.722.9
Auto6.2
Teleop9.7
End9.6
Third
9100
#31
17.14.7
16.821.5
Auto5.4
Teleop7.1
End4.6
red by 1.6
5113
#28
15.51.2
18.319.5
Auto5.6
Teleop5.9
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed10%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
33%Activation oddsEarned73%Activation oddsEarned