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Red44
545713.4
573222.8
692121.6
Blue108
813016.5
181236.9
27244.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68932040608010012014016044108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5732
#25
22.83.0
20.217.3
Auto8.0
Teleop10.9
End4.0
blue by 21.6
272
#4
44.41.3
38.940.1
Auto14.7
Teleop21.8
End8.0
Second
6921
#26
21.65.0
22.117.1
Auto5.4
Teleop9.4
End6.8
blue by 15.3
36.91.3
31.733.0
Auto12.9
Teleop16.2
End7.9
Third
5457
#20
13.45.0
24.319.3
Auto4.2
Teleop4.9
End4.0
blue by 3.1
8130
#29
16.51.3
13.414.7
Auto4.4
Teleop9.6
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed25%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
32%Activation oddsMissed49%Activation oddsEarned