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Red103
475021.9
180754.9
20419.0
Blue99
36536.2
589558.3
171231.9
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9112840608010012014016018020010399

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.90.9
49.950.8
Auto16.0
Teleop31.4
End6.7
blue by 3.4
58.31.1
55.354.2
Auto13.8
Teleop34.9
End8.9
Second
4750
#24
21.91.5
20.722.2
Auto8.8
Teleop8.9
End4.2
blue by 14.3
365
#17
36.21.1
34.133.0
Auto11.6
Teleop17.8
End6.8
Third
204
#23
19.01.5
19.220.7
Auto9.1
Teleop5.7
End4.2
blue by 12.9
31.91.1
26.024.9
Auto5.4
Teleop19.3
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed40%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
59%Activation oddsEarned86%Activation oddsMissed