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Red71
272228.9
181236.9
36536.2
Blue113
589558.3
218019.8
511315.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9810205015020071113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.91.4
33.031.6
Auto12.9
Teleop16.2
End7.9
blue by 21.4
58.31.2
54.255.4
Auto13.8
Teleop34.9
End8.9
Second
365
#17
36.21.4
33.031.6
Auto11.6
Teleop17.8
End6.8
red by 16.4
2180
#14
19.81.2
22.824.0
Auto5.9
Teleop7.2
End6.7
Third
2722
#15
28.91.4
26.124.7
Auto9.0
Teleop11.4
End8.6
red by 13.4
5113
#28
15.51.2
17.819.0
Auto5.6
Teleop5.9
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
15%Sustainability oddsMissed46%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
79%Activation oddsEarned82%Activation oddsEarned