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Red51
219126.1
511315.5
81627.1
Blue117
872115.0
272036.9
589558.3
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions671075015051117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
816
#16
27.11.1
23.822.7
Auto7.1
Teleop15.1
End4.9
blue by 31.3
58.31.5
55.456.9
Auto13.8
Teleop34.9
End8.9
Second
2191
#18
26.11.1
24.823.7
Auto7.6
Teleop12.0
End6.5
blue by 10.8
36.91.5
29.831.3
Auto9.3
Teleop20.0
End7.7
Third
5113
#28
15.51.1
19.017.9
Auto5.6
Teleop5.9
End4.0
red by 0.5
8721
#30
15.02.3
9.912.1
Auto4.1
Teleop6.2
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsMissed23%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
64%Activation oddsMissed68%Activation oddsEarned