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Red79
511315.5
475021.9
2548.6
Blue81
870421.9
272228.9
434239.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82730501502002503003504007981

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
#10
48.60.1
43.543.4
Auto12.9
Teleop27.0
End8.8
red by 9.4
39.20.4
29.029.4
Auto9.5
Teleop22.2
End7.1
Second
4750
#24
21.90.2
16.716.5
Auto8.8
Teleop8.9
End4.2
blue by 7.0
2722
#15
28.90.4
21.822.2
Auto9.0
Teleop11.4
End8.6
Third
5113
#28
15.50.1
15.715.6
Auto5.6
Teleop5.9
End4.0
blue by 6.4
8704
#27
21.90.5
18.919.4
Auto4.5
Teleop10.8
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
65%Activation oddsMissed62%Activation oddsEarned