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Red65
255911.5
20335.3
475021.9
Blue115
573222.8
272036.9
622628.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7179406010012065115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203
#11
35.30.2
34.033.9
Auto9.9
Teleop19.2
End6.1
blue by 1.6
36.92.4
31.333.7
Auto9.3
Teleop20.0
End7.7
Second
4750
#24
21.90.2
23.923.7
Auto8.8
Teleop8.9
End4.2
blue by 6.6
28.52.4
24.226.6
Auto10.4
Teleop11.4
End6.7
Third
2559
#19
11.50.2
9.59.4
Auto2.9
Teleop4.9
End3.8
blue by 11.3
5732
#25
22.82.4
18.020.4
Auto8.0
Teleop10.9
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
13%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
35%Activation oddsMissed40%Activation oddsEarned