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Red101
20335.3
171231.9
711023.4
Blue92
27244.4
272228.9
692121.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87945015010192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203
#11
35.30.5
33.934.4
Auto9.9
Teleop19.2
End6.1
blue by 9.2
272
#4
44.40.3
42.743.0
Auto14.7
Teleop21.8
End8.0
Second
31.90.5
27.027.5
Auto5.4
Teleop19.3
End7.2
red by 3.1
2722
#15
28.90.3
24.925.2
Auto9.0
Teleop11.4
End8.6
Third
7110
#12
23.40.5
22.122.6
Auto7.4
Teleop9.8
End6.2
red by 1.8
6921
#26
21.60.4
20.120.4
Auto5.4
Teleop9.4
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
51%Activation oddsEarned92%Activation oddsEarned