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Red30
511315.5
116823.7
164714.6
Blue94
272228.9
622628.5
255911.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62633040507080903094

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1168
#13
23.71.9
23.922.0
Auto6.7
Teleop12.3
End4.8
blue by 5.2
2722
#15
28.92.0
25.227.2
Auto9.0
Teleop11.4
End8.6
Second
5113
#28
15.51.9
19.817.8
Auto5.6
Teleop5.9
End4.0
blue by 13.0
28.52.0
25.527.5
Auto10.4
Teleop11.4
End6.7
Third
1647
#22
14.62.4
15.513.1
Auto3.8
Teleop5.4
End5.4
red by 3.1
2559
#19
11.52.0
8.310.3
Auto2.9
Teleop4.9
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
31%Activation oddsMissed53%Activation oddsEarned