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Red120
116823.7
434239.2
27244.4
Blue110
870421.9
20335.3
36536.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11393406080140160180120110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
272
#4
44.41.1
44.445.5
Auto14.7
Teleop21.8
End8.0
red by 8.2
365
#17
36.20.7
35.636.3
Auto11.6
Teleop17.8
End6.8
Second
39.21.1
37.238.3
Auto9.5
Teleop22.2
End7.1
red by 3.9
203
#11
35.30.7
33.434.0
Auto9.9
Teleop19.2
End6.1
Third
1168
#13
23.71.1
22.023.0
Auto6.7
Teleop12.3
End4.8
red by 1.8
8704
#27
21.90.7
21.221.9
Auto4.5
Teleop10.8
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsEarned15%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
75%Activation oddsMissed64%Activation oddsMissed