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Red27
511315.5
910017.1
20419.0
Blue105
164714.6
255911.5
589558.3
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5690020408010012014027105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
204
#23
19.02.6
20.317.8
Auto9.1
Teleop5.7
End4.2
blue by 39.3
58.31.3
56.958.2
Auto13.8
Teleop34.9
End8.9
Second
9100
#31
17.12.6
18.816.2
Auto5.4
Teleop7.1
End4.6
red by 2.5
1647
#22
14.61.5
13.114.6
Auto3.8
Teleop5.4
End5.4
Third
5113
#28
15.52.3
17.815.5
Auto5.6
Teleop5.9
End4.0
red by 4.0
2559
#19
11.51.3
10.311.6
Auto2.9
Teleop4.9
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed29%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
27%Activation oddsMissed41%Activation oddsEarned