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Red111
436132.8
83450.7
21924.3
Blue88
22334.1
55522.3
811730.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9377406010012014016011188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
834
#3
50.71.4
35.837.1
Auto13.6
Teleop29.7
End7.3
red by 16.6
223
#21
34.10.6
31.832.4
Auto11.9
Teleop16.3
End5.9
Second
4361
#13
32.81.4
25.627.0
Auto9.8
Teleop14.8
End8.2
red by 2.1
8117
#10
30.70.6
29.229.8
Auto7.5
Teleop14.0
End9.2
Third
219
#18
24.31.4
23.925.3
Auto9.8
Teleop8.8
End5.7
red by 2.0
555
#25
22.30.6
12.913.5
Auto5.6
Teleop11.5
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
50%Activation oddsMissed47%Activation oddsMissed