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Red69
181126.4
436132.8
428529.6
Blue84
55522.3
30321.9
207027.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90612040801001201401606984

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4361
#13
32.80.8
29.328.5
Auto9.8
Teleop14.8
End8.2
red by 5.8
2070
#23
27.01.6
26.427.9
Auto9.7
Teleop13.9
End3.3
Second
29.61.3
26.525.2
Auto7.2
Teleop16.2
End6.1
red by 7.3
555
#25
22.31.6
15.517.0
Auto5.6
Teleop11.5
End5.2
Third
1811
#19
26.40.8
25.224.4
Auto7.5
Teleop11.9
End7.0
red by 4.6
303
#8
21.91.6
18.820.4
Auto3.9
Teleop10.3
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
62%Activation oddsMissed40%Activation oddsEarned