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Red79
207027.0
19330.7
858815.2
Blue116
167650.6
465230.8
5622.1
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7410220406012014079116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193
#5
30.70.0
29.629.6
Auto12.5
Teleop11.4
End6.8
blue by 19.8
50.61.3
48.549.7
Auto11.9
Teleop30.8
End7.9
Second
2070
#23
27.00.0
27.928.0
Auto9.7
Teleop13.9
End3.3
blue by 3.8
4652
#16
30.81.3
23.124.3
Auto12.1
Teleop12.9
End5.8
Third
8588
#22
15.20.1
15.815.8
Auto4.7
Teleop4.6
End5.9
blue by 6.9
56
#14
22.11.3
20.721.9
Auto3.7
Teleop11.6
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
52%Activation oddsEarned72%Activation oddsEarned