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Red108
428529.6
1151.2
694519.7
Blue101
436132.8
870614.1
22237.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10178204060120140160108101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11
#1
51.20.4
48.348.8
Auto14.6
Teleop27.3
End9.3
red by 13.3
222
#15
37.91.6
35.737.3
Auto10.3
Teleop23.7
End3.9
Second
29.60.6
25.526.1
Auto7.2
Teleop16.2
End6.1
blue by 3.2
4361
#13
32.81.6
29.130.7
Auto9.8
Teleop14.8
End8.2
Third
6945
#11
19.70.4
17.718.2
Auto5.7
Teleop7.9
End6.2
red by 5.7
8706
#31
14.12.4
11.614.0
Auto2.7
Teleop7.5
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
80%Activation oddsEarned39%Activation oddsMissed