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Red117
83450.7
901530.0
22237.9
Blue131
428529.6
21924.3
167650.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9197406080120140160117131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
834
#3
50.72.0
33.735.8
Auto13.6
Teleop29.7
End7.3
red by 0.1
50.60.4
46.547.0
Auto11.9
Teleop30.8
End7.9
Second
222
#15
37.92.0
29.831.8
Auto10.3
Teleop23.7
End3.9
red by 8.3
29.60.7
20.321.1
Auto7.2
Teleop16.2
End6.1
Third
9015
#17
30.02.0
22.925.0
Auto10.5
Teleop11.1
End8.4
red by 5.7
219
#18
24.30.4
23.523.9
Auto9.8
Teleop8.8
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsEarned7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
45%Activation oddsMissed70%Activation oddsEarned