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Red78
55522.3
1151.2
19330.7
Blue77
465230.8
704542.0
71420.2
75%Model gave it25%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92734060801001201401607877

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11
#1
51.20.4
43.042.6
Auto14.6
Teleop27.3
End9.3
red by 9.2
42.00.4
31.531.9
Auto13.0
Teleop22.1
End6.9
Second
193
#5
30.70.4
27.827.4
Auto12.5
Teleop11.4
End6.8
blue by 0.1
4652
#16
30.80.4
22.623.0
Auto12.1
Teleop12.9
End5.8
Third
555
#25
22.30.4
13.312.9
Auto5.6
Teleop11.5
End5.2
red by 2.1
714
#30
20.20.4
17.017.4
Auto5.5
Teleop9.8
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
82%Activation oddsEarned67%Activation oddsEarned