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Red98
565331.3
453933.0
329421.8
Blue96
887814.9
87653.3
313431.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60760501001502009896

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.00.3
32.132.4
Auto5.9
Teleop29.1
End-2.1
blue by 20.3
876
#1
53.30.2
53.253.1
Auto10.5
Teleop43.5
End-0.8
Second
31.30.3
30.430.7
Auto7.6
Teleop22.1
End2.0
red by 0.3
31.00.2
30.930.7
Auto6.8
Teleop25.5
End-1.2
Third
21.80.3
20.821.2
Auto4.2
Teleop17.1
End0.4
red by 6.9
8878
#12
14.90.2
14.814.7
Auto4.4
Teleop10.0
End0.6