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Red89
453933.0
64539.9
327727.3
Blue49
525319.2
331323.3
448014.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions425901001502002503003508949

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.01.6
32.634.3
Auto5.9
Teleop29.1
End-2.1
red by 9.7
3313
#15
23.30.9
27.326.4
Auto7.4
Teleop13.6
End2.3
Second
3277
#10
27.31.6
24.025.6
Auto4.0
Teleop24.2
End-0.8
red by 8.1
19.20.9
18.717.8
Auto2.9
Teleop14.2
End2.1
Third
6453
#11
9.91.6
7.79.3
Auto3.9
Teleop4.5
End1.6
blue by 4.9
4480
#17
14.80.9
16.715.7
Auto3.3
Teleop9.7
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
18%Activation oddsEarned25%Activation oddsMissed