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Qual 262023 NMRC Championship
Red86
767717.2
310245.1
887814.9
Blue97
313431.0
453933.0
467424.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions605301001502002503003504008697

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3102
#2
45.10.7
43.2→43.9
Auto8.5
Teleop37.1
End-0.6
red by 12.1
4539
#3
33.00.3
32.9→33.2
Auto5.9
Teleop29.1
End-2.1
Second
7677
#16
17.20.7
18.6→19.3
Auto4.0
Teleop11.8
End1.3
blue by 13.8
3134
#7
31.00.3
29.9→30.2
Auto6.8
Teleop25.5
End-1.2
Third
8878
#12
14.90.7
13.5→14.2
Auto4.4
Teleop10.0
End0.6
blue by 9.9
4674
#8
24.80.3
24.5→24.9
Auto4.7
Teleop21.6
End-1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
33%Activation oddsEarned71%Activation oddsMissed