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Red85
313431.0
565331.3
525319.2
Blue60
64539.9
331323.3
327526.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions634602040801008560

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.30.1
29.329.4
Auto7.6
Teleop22.1
End2.0
red by 4.8
26.50.1
26.526.5
Auto6.4
Teleop21.4
End-1.3
Second
31.00.1
30.230.3
Auto6.8
Teleop25.5
End-1.2
red by 7.7
3313
#15
23.30.1
23.223.3
Auto7.4
Teleop13.6
End2.3
Third
19.20.1
19.219.2
Auto2.9
Teleop14.2
End2.1
red by 9.3
6453
#11
9.90.1
9.49.4
Auto3.9
Teleop4.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
61%Activation oddsEarned24%Activation oddsMissed