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Red65
327727.3
723517.2
565331.3
Blue112
453933.0
310245.1
525319.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6768405060809010011065112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.30.7
29.929.1
Auto7.6
Teleop22.1
End2.0
blue by 13.8
45.11.8
38.240.0
Auto8.5
Teleop37.1
End-0.6
Second
3277
#10
27.30.7
25.825.1
Auto4.0
Teleop24.2
End-0.8
blue by 5.7
33.01.8
29.831.7
Auto5.9
Teleop29.1
End-2.1
Third
7235
#14
17.20.7
20.519.7
Auto6.9
Teleop8.3
End2.0
blue by 2.0
19.21.8
16.418.2
Auto2.9
Teleop14.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
50%Activation oddsMissed50%Activation oddsEarned