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Red28
915118.7
838721.7
901811.4
Blue132
741523.6
6035.5
35961.9
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45112010015028132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8387
#28
21.72.5
18.716.2
Auto5.3
Teleop9.0
End7.5
blue by 40.2
359
#2
61.91.7
54.155.8
Auto17.4
Teleop36.2
End8.4
Second
9151
#32
18.72.5
15.012.4
Auto5.7
Teleop7.7
End5.3
blue by 16.8
60
#14
35.51.7
25.226.8
Auto11.3
Teleop17.8
End6.4
Third
9018
#43
11.42.5
17.114.6
Auto3.4
Teleop4.3
End3.7
blue by 12.2
7415
#13
23.61.9
17.619.4
Auto6.5
Teleop10.6
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed24%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
27%Activation oddsMissed75%Activation oddsEarned