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Red73
800531.2
462732.3
442139.0
Blue124
35961.9
138840.7
682519.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10011440608014016018073124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4421
#26
39.01.8
37.735.9
Auto10.2
Teleop21.8
End7.0
blue by 22.9
359
#2
61.90.9
55.856.7
Auto17.4
Teleop36.2
End8.4
Second
4627
#12
32.31.8
29.828.0
Auto12.0
Teleop13.8
End6.5
blue by 8.4
40.70.9
32.933.8
Auto13.8
Teleop20.8
End6.1
Third
8005
#17
31.21.8
28.126.3
Auto6.3
Teleop18.1
End6.8
red by 11.8
6825
#35
19.41.5
16.618.1
Auto5.3
Teleop7.2
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed28%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
86%Activation oddsMissed90%Activation oddsEarned