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Qual 282023 Las Vegas Regional
Red55
59738.6
915118.7
707716.3
Blue102
742418.0
427054.9
900218.2
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6093020408012014016055102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
597
#7
38.60.4
32.9→32.5
Auto9.7
Teleop21.3
End7.6
blue by 16.3
4270
#1
54.90.9
45.9→46.8
Auto9.5
Teleop36.1
End9.2
Second
9151
#32
18.70.7
12.4→11.8
Auto5.7
Teleop7.7
End5.3
red by 0.5
9002
#23
18.21.5
18.3→19.8
Auto5.9
Teleop5.0
End7.3
Third
7077
#30
16.30.7
15.6→14.9
Auto8.4
Teleop1.1
End6.8
blue by 1.7
7424
#38
18.00.9
19.1→20.0
Auto4.6
Teleop9.4
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed27%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
25%Activation oddsMissed46%Activation oddsEarned