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Qual 302023 Las Vegas Regional
Red118
742216.0
35961.9
682419.8
Blue112
742522.5
242933.1
718322.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9773050150200118112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#2
61.91.2
56.7→57.9
Auto17.4
Teleop36.2
End8.4
red by 28.8
2429
#11
33.11.6
30.2→31.7
Auto8.8
Teleop16.6
End7.7
Second
6824
#37
19.82.0
15.6→17.5
Auto4.0
Teleop9.3
End6.4
blue by 2.7
7425
#34
22.52.6
21.7→24.2
Auto6.7
Teleop9.8
End6.1
Third
7422
#40
16.02.0
15.9→17.9
Auto4.6
Teleop6.6
End4.8
blue by 6.3
7183
#18
22.32.6
19.9→22.5
Auto7.0
Teleop9.8
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
19%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
73%Activation oddsEarned56%Activation oddsEarned