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Red120
99130.7
699546.4
742522.5
Blue100
427054.9
462732.3
96826.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84106050150200250120100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.42.2
41.844.0
Auto11.2
Teleop28.5
End6.7
blue by 8.5
54.90.1
47.247.1
Auto9.5
Teleop36.1
End9.2
Second
991
#15
30.72.2
20.923.1
Auto10.7
Teleop12.0
End8.0
blue by 1.6
4627
#12
32.30.1
25.925.7
Auto12.0
Teleop13.8
End6.5
Third
7425
#34
22.53.7
19.222.9
Auto6.7
Teleop9.8
End6.1
blue by 4.1
968
#24
26.60.2
23.923.7
Auto6.9
Teleop12.4
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed27%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
55%Activation oddsEarned87%Activation oddsMissed