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Red94
718322.3
901811.4
35961.9
Blue124
742640.6
450130.7
742323.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10479406012014016094124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#2
61.90.0
57.957.9
Auto17.4
Teleop36.2
End8.4
red by 21.3
7426
#10
40.62.5
33.636.0
Auto12.6
Teleop22.0
End6.0
Second
7183
#18
22.30.1
23.523.5
Auto7.0
Teleop9.8
End5.5
blue by 8.3
4501
#19
30.72.5
24.627.0
Auto8.3
Teleop13.5
End8.9
Third
9018
#43
11.40.1
13.113.1
Auto3.4
Teleop4.3
End3.7
blue by 11.8
7423
#27
23.24.1
19.023.1
Auto5.8
Teleop10.2
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
30%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
78%Activation oddsMissed79%Activation oddsEarned