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Red78
462732.3
99130.7
98811.2
Blue76
872013.8
442139.0
265823.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73842040601001201407876

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4627
#12
32.30.6
29.630.2
Auto12.0
Teleop13.8
End6.5
blue by 6.7
4421
#26
39.00.4
35.835.4
Auto10.2
Teleop21.8
End7.0
Second
991
#15
30.70.6
27.428.0
Auto10.7
Teleop12.0
End8.0
red by 7.1
2658
#31
23.60.4
23.523.0
Auto6.7
Teleop10.1
End6.8
Third
988
#39
11.20.9
12.513.4
Auto3.2
Teleop4.4
End3.6
blue by 2.5
8720
#41
13.80.7
18.317.5
Auto3.6
Teleop7.3
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
47%Activation oddsEarned70%Activation oddsMissed