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Qual 482023 Las Vegas Regional
Red113
427054.9
806618.2
741523.6
Blue100
682419.8
76547.2
98760.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9494708090100110120113100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4270
#1
54.90.7
49.8→50.5
Auto9.5
Teleop36.1
End9.2
blue by 5.1
987
#3
60.00.7
58.8→59.6
Auto17.0
Teleop36.1
End6.8
Second
7415
#13
23.60.7
21.6→22.3
Auto6.5
Teleop10.6
End6.4
red by 3.8
6824
#37
19.81.2
17.2→18.4
Auto4.0
Teleop9.3
End6.4
Third
8066
#42
18.20.7
15.6→16.3
Auto3.5
Teleop8.0
End6.8
red by 11.1
7654
#44
7.21.2
13.1→14.3
Auto2.6
Teleop1.4
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
34%Sustainability oddsEarned22%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
42%Activation oddsMissed40%Activation oddsEarned