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Red136
691823.7
656048.9
59738.6
Blue108
462732.3
838721.7
742640.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113906080100120140160136108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.92.2
46.348.5
Auto14.4
Teleop28.7
End5.6
red by 8.3
7426
#10
40.61.1
36.537.6
Auto12.6
Teleop22.0
End6.0
Second
597
#7
38.62.2
34.736.9
Auto9.7
Teleop21.3
End7.6
red by 6.3
4627
#12
32.31.1
30.231.2
Auto12.0
Teleop13.8
End6.5
Third
6918
#20
23.72.2
21.924.1
Auto5.8
Teleop10.3
End7.5
red by 2.0
8387
#28
21.71.7
20.422.0
Auto5.3
Teleop9.0
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
28%Sustainability oddsEarned25%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
51%Activation oddsEarned95%Activation oddsEarned