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Red54
707716.3
806618.2
871728.4
Blue112
800531.2
35961.9
651915.9
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43110010015054112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8717
#21
28.40.5
19.720.3
Auto9.6
Teleop11.7
End7.2
blue by 33.5
359
#2
61.91.1
51.953.0
Auto17.4
Teleop36.2
End8.4
Second
8066
#42
18.20.4
13.113.5
Auto3.5
Teleop8.0
End6.8
blue by 13.0
8005
#17
31.21.5
26.728.3
Auto6.3
Teleop18.1
End6.8
Third
7077
#30
16.30.5
16.316.9
Auto8.4
Teleop1.1
End6.8
red by 0.4
6519
#29
15.91.9
16.318.2
Auto3.6
Teleop5.7
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed11%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
24%Activation oddsMissed89%Activation oddsEarned