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Red76
462732.3
682419.8
651915.9
Blue55
806618.2
900218.2
838721.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76650501001507655

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4627
#12
32.30.4
32.332.7
Auto12.0
Teleop13.8
End6.5
red by 10.6
8387
#28
21.70.7
22.221.6
Auto5.3
Teleop9.0
End7.5
Second
6824
#37
19.80.6
19.420.0
Auto4.0
Teleop9.3
End6.4
red by 1.5
8066
#42
18.20.5
17.617.1
Auto3.5
Teleop8.0
End6.8
Third
6519
#29
15.90.6
18.118.6
Auto3.6
Teleop5.7
End6.6
blue by 2.2
9002
#23
18.20.7
22.722.0
Auto5.9
Teleop5.0
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed11%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
61%Activation oddsEarned40%Activation oddsEarned